Exaggerator, Brody’s Cause (who won the Blue Grass Stakes in April) and Mohaymen have all finished behind him.
Back in February, an odds-on Nyquist bested Exaggerator by a length-and-half in Santa Anita’s San Vicente Stakes. He’s nothing if not consistent. On Saturday, 20 horses – all 3-year-olds – will break from Churchill Downs’ starting gate sometime after 6:34 p.m. Heck, Nyquist even won his maiden race.
On top of that, Nyquist has already seen and beaten his Derby competition. His races have been visually compelling, but they haven’t been about blazing speed. He was the King of the East, so to speak.
And even as American Pharoah edged closer to winning the Triple Crown, his owners knew that on any given Saturday, racing luck could not be ignored. We’ll regroup,” said McLaughlin, who knows a thing or two about horses, having won the Belmont Stakes with Jazil in 2006.
Nyquist still has his doubters, and that’s understandable. his Florida Derby victory over two unaccomplished longshots proved little, and the pace-pressing son of Uncle Mo may have trouble with the Derby’s 10th furlong.”
Still, Nyquist has earned the public’s trust. in the 142nd running of the Kentucky Derby. The Run for the Roses is 1 1/4 miles – 10 furlongs in racing parlance – and speed in shorter distances doesn’t necessarily translate into victory over a longer haul.
That was a big win for Nyquist. Oddsmakers list Nyquist (3-1) and Exaggerator (8-1) as the early favorites, but the field is large, and anything can happen.
In a post-race interview, Kiaran McLaughlin, Mohaymen’s trainer, could only offer his hopes for his horse: “With the track you never know … That was an awesome race.” Then last month, in the mile-and-an-eighth Florida Derby, Nyquist stared down Mohaymen and rolled to a victory of more than three lengths. But, you know, we’re very optimistic with Nyquist that we’re heading the right way.”
Attorney Lloyd Green was the opposition research counsel to the George H.W. Bush campaign in 1988, and served in the Department of Justice between 1990 and 1992.
The Kentucky Derby is an annual reminder of why people watch horses run. His fastest race was less than a mile - seven-eighths of a mile to be exact. For Nyquist and 19 other Derby entrants, the question is who will be first to the finish line.
Battle lines have been drawn. Nyquist, not so much. There is majesty in a horse going nearly 40 miles per hour with a rider on its back, fighting for every inch as though it were its last.
Over the past decade, the Derby betting favorite at post time has won the race four times – good odds as far as horse racing goes, but definitely not a lock.
Nyquist’s connections are displaying the same kind of cautious optimism. As Steve Crist at the Daily Racing Form framed it, “The knocks are that he has yet to run a particularly fast race … After the colt’s final pre-Derby workout, his trainer, Doug O’Neill, took the long view, saying, “I’d be lying if I said every day you don’t kind of walk down the shed with one eye open, one eye closed – especially the longer you’re in it and the more you see, the more nerve-wracking it can be … The Uncle Mo colt has finished first in each of his seven starts – four victories in high-end Grade I stakes races, two others in Grade II stakes – and he’s earned more than $3.2 million along the way. Mohaymen had been undefeated, with four straight graded stakes wins in New York and Florida. After the race Keith Desormeaux, Exaggerator’s trainer, exclaimed, “Goodness gracious, can anyone not be a believer in Nyquist now? … As Justin Zayat, the stable manager at Zayat Stables, which owns American Pharoah, put it, “I always knew American Pharoah had talent, but I never thought in my wildest dreams that he would actually win the Kentucky Derby.” Enough said.
. Mohaymen finished fourth.
By contrast, American Pharoah, who last year became the first Triple Crown winner since 1978, flashed the kind of speed usually associated with Derby winners in his pre-Derby races
LINCOLN, Nebraska — When a television station in Lincoln, Nebraska looked at their weather-cam recently, they were in for a big surprise when they saw a hawk staring back at them from the other side of the lens.
The hawk likes to hang out in front of CBS affiliate KOLN’s towercam, the station said, so they check in on it from time to time.
But they had never seen the hawk stare them down quite like this.
CNNMoney (London) First published June 25, 2016: 3:41 AM ET
. Anyone that bet that the U.K.
They’re now taking bets on who will become the next U.K. will vote to remain in the European Union or leave.
Paddy Power Betfair said its biggest individual winner received a payout of £99,000 based on a bet worth £18,000. That works out to over $200 million. told CNNMoney that this was their biggest non-sports betting event ever, eclipsing gambling on the Royal baby and any past election. The London-based gambler who placed the bet lost it all because she predicted the U.K. would leave was guaranteed a bigger payout as the referendum drew closer.
Opinion polls in the immediate run-up to the referendum showed the vote was split about 50-50.
Overall, more people put small bets on Leave, while a smaller number of people placed large bets on Remain.
A William Hill representative said she later told the company, “My sadness is for the wider implications of the result, which is far more important than personal financial loss.”
Economists had long been warning that a British vote to leave the EU would slam the economy, currency, financial markets and the U.K.
Related: Brexit’s existential threat to Europe
Bookmaker William Hill said the biggest bet staked on the outcome of the referendum was £100,000.
The bet in this instance was very simple: Choose whether the U.K. is known for its active sports gambling market, with millions of pounds bet on soccer matches and horse racing. prime minister.
“The betting industry as a whole would have taken £150 million in bets,” estimated a representative at gambling firm Paddy Power Betfair.
The odds set by the bookmakers predicted that voters would choose to remain in the EU. But bookmakers are increasingly expanding into non-sports betting. real estate sector. would vote to remain in the EU.
And hence it’s best done by law.. It keeps circulating between those involved in gambling, and they keep switching between rich, richer, poor, and poorer. Gambling can make the rich poor and the poor rich, within seconds; that too only out of luck. Money that could have been invested in better ways or put to better use is lost in gambling. Money just changes hands between the gamblers and is never really put to any worthy use. The allurement is not easy to overcome. It is tempting to bet money, hoping for a bigger win every time
By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football team such as USC. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not.”
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a “preliminary” pointspread on an upcoming game. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf).
Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line “feels right.” This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture. If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks.
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
What Is the Line Trying to Accomplish?
How the Opening Line Is Made
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the betting action, public perception and betting patterns must be taken into account.
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by.
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. Reasons for such adjustments include:
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an “adjusted line.”
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Why the Line Changes
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team’s most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent.
Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team’s power rating are key player injuries and player trades. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker’s effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision.
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action
The way you make money handicapping and betting on horse races is in finding a good bet.
For some people, horse racing handicapping is an intellectual sport and they prepare themselves and work hard at it. The thrill of winning is probably pretty close to the same for each group, though the handicappers also have the satisfaction of working hard and getting rewarded for it.
Your chances of success are much greater if you educate yourself, prepare, practice, and work hard, but there are no guarantees. That edge is what separates gamblers from handicappers and is why, in the long run, handicappers win more, but in all fairness, they don’t just win it, they earn it.
There are thousands of people trying to make a living from horse racing by handicapping the horse races and then betting on horse races. The ones who depend upon luck or some other esoteric method are more like lottery players than handicappers, but the thing they all have in common is that all there money goes into the same pool and some from each group will be successful while many will not.
The big advantage that the handicapper has over the gambler is that he or she has an idea of each horse’s chances of winning and therefore, how much a horse has to pay to win in order to make money on such bets in the long run. There are many more people, perhaps millions around the world, trying to make money betting on horse races depending upon luck or some other system to be a winner.
On the other hand, the ones who depend upon luck invest nothing but money and very little time. The only work they do is to walk into the club house and maybe read a simple list of horses and riders. If the success rate for handicappers is 5-10% then it is probably 1-2% for those depending upon luck.
Come check it out at http://www.predictem.com/forums/. There are many blogger sites out there that are run by diehard
sports fanatics that are actually better than some of the biggest sports
information sites on the web.
Note: We’ve listed a handful of sports betting blogs on this page but when we go back every year to check and see if they’re still udpating, they’re dead! With that being said, we’re going to recommend that you check out our sports betting forum. Online registration is closed but we’ll hook you up if you send us your desired username and password.
Sports betting blogs are a great resource to add to your daily sports handicapping
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– A minimum bet on Mike Russow at +300 or higher at some books. There is a link at the end of the article for those interesting in signing up for the best site to bet on UFC 114: Rampage Jackson vs Rashad Evans and ef=”/Mixed Mar tial Arts”>mixed martial arts in general. Todd Duffee made a big splash with his super fast knockout of Tim Hague. I say that because in his career Diego Sanchez has only lost to BJ Penn, Josh Koscheck and Jon Fitch. Then he has wins over Karo Parisyan, Nick Diaz, Kenny Florian, Clay Guida and Joe Stevenson. Maybe also consider that he is +160 and +180 to finish the fight or win by decision as well.
In terms of UFC 114 betting odds the fight everybody is talking about is Quinton “Rampage” Jackson going up against Rashad Evans. If you feel like putting money on this fight then check out the prop bets. I got in there when the gambling lines on this one were in the +160 range.
– Rampage Jackson to win inside the distance at +250.
I have on final play here looking at the UFC 114 betting odds. He had decision losses to Koscheck and Fitch both top 5 welterweights and went 5 rounds against BJ Penn arguably the best lightweight in the world. However Mike Russow is a very game opponent and worthy of a play in the +300 range.
So in terms of gambling and parlay advice for UFC 114 here are my recommended plays. If you can grab this line in the +140 to +160 range get it fast because it’s already came down considerably on most books. I have eagerly been awaiting for some of the odds to come out for this card and there are some good prop bets in my opinion. I would give the advice of putting money on Rashad to win by decision or Rampage to win inside the distance. The winner of that fight will get the next title shot against the new Light Heavyweight UFC Champion Shogun Rua. At WEC 38 I advised to bet on Aldo, Henderson and Gamburyan.
– Dan Miller and Michael Bisping going to a decision. At that price I feel there is a great chance it could go to a decision. That is Mike Russow against Todd Duffee. . I feel that Diego Sanchez is nearly a lock against John Hathaway.
There are a couple straight up UFC 114 betting odds that I like and feel are worth a play or possibly being thrown into a parlay. I’m sorry but I think that Diego Sanchez is gonna run all over this kid. I feel he is a lock and will be making a considerable bet on this fight. Rashad Evans is no joke and if Rampage takes this fight lightly he could end up on the losing end. Then at UFN 21 I had Roy Nelson and Gleason Tibau as locks on that card.
John Hathaway hasn’t beaten anybody of that caliber in his young career. I’m talking about Dan Miller and Michael Bisping going to a decision. I’m pretty confident that Todd Duffee will likely win this fight and there is a reason he is a -400 favorite. This fight has pretty much been a pick’em in the books at Vegas. His best win to date was probably a decision win against Paul Taylor.
If you guys want to check my older articles feel free but I advised to bet heavily on Shogun Rua at UFC 113.
I’m back here today to give some advice about the betting odds for UFC 114 which features Quinton “Rampage” Jackson vs Rashad Evans.
There is another prop bet that I really like in terms of UFC 114 betting odds.
– Diego Sanchez straight up anywhere in the -200 price range. I have been using 5dimes and putting together some good parlays for cheap due to the minimum $1 bets. Both of these guys are relative newcomers to the UFC heavyweight division. There is good reason for that because both guys have some of the same skills. In the -200 range this is a steal in my opinion and a great one to throw into some parlay plays.
Quinton “Rampage” Jackson would likely be the favorite if not for the fact that he is coming off a long layoff having shot a movie. Those prop bets are both in the +200 to +300 range